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EPOLIN,
INC. (NASDAQ BB - EPLN) Current Price $.42
Epolin, Inc., (the "Company") is a manufacturing and
research and development company which was incorporated In the State
of New Jersey in May 1984. The Company is principally engaged in the
development, production and sale of near infrared dyes to the optical
industry for laser protection and for welding applications and other
dyes, specialty chemical products that serve as intermediates and
additives used in the adhesive, plastic, aerospace, pharmaceutical,
flavors and fragrance industries to a group of customers primarily in
the United States, Europe, Australia and the Far East.
The Company's products primarily serve as intermediates, additives
and processing aids for complex chemical formulations. The Company
markets its products to other companies who are in need of low level
quantities of unique chemicals which provide specialized functions and
are necessary elements in complex chemical mixtures manufactured by
the Company's respective customers. These products are produced on a
low volume basis in chemical production equipment ranging from 50
liter size flasks to two hundred gallon reactors. The Company sustains
this business because its customers find it economically inefficient
to manufacture such low volume specialty chemicals for their own use.
Raw materials utilized in connection with the preparation of specialty
chemical products are either available from chemical suppliers or
created by the Company in its own facilities.
This segment of the Company's business is manufactured on an
individual basis to meet each customers respective needs. Presently,
the Company provides products used as components in plastics,
adhesives and coatings, flavors and odorant mixtures, pharmaceutical
and medical products and aerospace materials.
Although the specialty chemical business currently commands
approximately 22% of total sales, the Company does not expect this
segment of its business to grow. It has, instead, made a strong
research and development commitment to the growth of the specialty dye
business. This market is described in segments in the following
subsections.
Dyes for Laser Protection
The Company has sold near infrared dyes since 1992 to customers who
manufacture and sell eyewear to protect personnel from the harmful
effects of laser light. In the first stages of the Company's marketing
efforts, the Company sold dyes that had a special capability to absorb
the emissions of the neodymium-YAG laser. This laser was and is used
by the military for range finders carried by tanks. Following the
Company's success in selling dyes for military usage, new markets were
developed selling to manufacturers of safety eyewear for personnel who
worked with lasers or were exposed to very strong sources of infrared
radiation.
The Company sells dyes into a market that requires the use of
absorptive dyes for face shields, helmets and goggles to protect
personnel from the harmful effects of radiation from welding.
Nationally prescribed specifications now state that welding shields
must absorb specific levels of the infrared generated by the welding
arc in order to protect personnel from eye damage. The Company expects
to see this welding market grow significantly in the future not only
because of increased sensitivity to the health effects of conventional
welding methods but also because of the increasing use of lasers for
welding. These instruments will require closer monitoring for exposure
of personnel to laser light but will also require personnel peripheral
to the welding operation to be protected.
Dyes for Filters
A smaller but not well characterized market exists for filters that
block certain frequencies in the near infrared and visible spectrum.
Most of the inquiries come from instrument makers who purchase glass
filters containing rare earth oxides. These filters are expensive and
are subject to chipping, shattering and other breakage. Management
believes the use of a clear plastic filter containing the Company's
dyes would lower cost and increase reliability. This high value added
market is under development. No assurance can be given that the
Company will be able to successfully develop this market.
Dyes for Heat Shields
It has been shown in experimental and theoretical studies that a
window containing near infrared dyes is capable of reducing the
internal heat load of a structure by 40 to 50 percent. This type of
application of infrared dyes is reported in use for sun roofs of
automobiles in Japan. The specific advantage offered by near infrared
dyes is heat reduction coupled with good visible transparency. This
allows high visibility while, at the same time, effectively blocking
the frequencies responsible for transporting heat. Management believes
near infrared dyes can be effectively used in a wide variety of
applications as heat shields. The Company has set its sights on this
potential market by initiating research and development studies
leading to dyes or dye combinations that can meet the tight
requirements demanded by this market.
Dyes for Security Inks
Certain of the near infrared dyes absorb very little of the visible
spectrum. These can be used at low concentration in inks and paints
and not be visually detected. However, when viewed by reflection of an
infrared laser or lamp, the presence of dye is easily seen as a black
marking. Mechanical "readers" can be used to detect the
presence of dyes by responding with a simple "go, no-go"
signal. Management believes that the industrial security and currency
marking is potentially a large volume application for these dyes. No
assurance can be given that the Company will be able to successfully
develop this market.
Dyes for Hard Coatings
There are a number of transparent plastics that are difficult to
process with near infrared dyes because they are formed at
temperatures that exceed the dye's thermal stability. As a result,
some of the dye is destroyed in the process. For example, a number of
lens manufacturers cannot extrude or injection mold polycarbonate
pellets with these dyes. However, they still want to incorporate the
dyes in their lenses. Since all polycarbonate lenses and panels have a
very soft surface, they must be protected from abrasion by using a
hard cost on the surface. The Company believes that a successful way
to incorporate the dye would be to place it in the hard coating.
Another, larger scale application, is to use the dye in a coating on
shatterproof windows to act as a heat shield. In this application the
structure to be molded is too large for incorporating most near
infrared dyes because such large structures have to be heated to too
high a temperature and remain at too high a temperature for the dye to
survive. Management believes coatings, in the form of a hard coat, is
a practical solution for the use of near infrared dyes. The Company
has formed a cooperative partnership with the Exxene Corporation, a
leader in the hard coat field, and both companies plan to pursue this
market vigorously.
Brief Fundamental Analysis
Our analysis will deal with estimated values for fiscal 99
commencing on April 1, 1998. Upon review of Select Financial Data Box
A, we calculated certain valuations based upon certain sales and
earnings figures generated from management. In our opinion, if one
considers the estimated revenue growth over fiscal 98, that is almost
100% and the earnings growth by 125%, we must assign a PE valuation
that at least offers a small reward for such tempting numbers. Since
we are very conservative in nature and realize that EPLN is very small
and most definitely under all radar screens and is shunned by most, we
will assign an estimate PE multiple of 13x. If EPLN earns .09, as
management anticipates, and in order to be valued with a PE of 13,
then our share price should be at least $1.17 - a far cry from the
initial recommended price of 33¢/share. By the end of fiscal 99
with an estimated book value of24¢, in our opinion EPLN could
trade at 4x book or 96¢. Using price to cash flow, EPLN should
trade at 10x cash flow or $1.00.
Finally, PSR estimate for fiscal 99 is 1.2x. In our opinion, the
valuation of 3x could be considered appropriate. If EPLN was to trade
at 3x sales, it would have a valuation of 99¢. Please remember,
S.A. Advisory is very conservative and strict in our evaluation of
micro-mini caps. Many would assume that our parameters are too low.
That may be the case, but we would rather be conservative than overly
optimistic. Remember that investing in micro-mini cap or even large
caps, risk is always present.
Why We Like it
- Unique and special business with huge growth potential long term.
- Experienced and dedicated management that takes very low
salaries.
- During December, 1997, company was approached by two companies
interested in purchase of or merger with Epolin (see January 9, 1998
press release). Still pending.
- On March 1998, the company announced a stock buy back program.
Management will spend up to $150K to purchase and retire stock.
- Company has no debt. As of November 30, 1997, EPLN had total
assets of $1.7 million and only $128K equity to debt ratio 12.5 to 1
- superb.
- One third of book value is cash ( a pristine balance sheet).
- Fully reporting with timely SEC filings, that is 10Q and 10K.
- No legal proceedings
- The company believes that its available cash, cash from
operations and projected revenues, will be sufficient to fund the
company's operations for at least the next 12 months.
- Net operating loss carry forwards of approximately $1 million
will shield company from certain tax obligations.
- Revenue growth for fiscal 99 is anticipated to grow by almost
100% over fiscal 98. Profit margins will remain high - net income
anticipated at a whomping 33% of sales.
- In conversation with management (James Iuchenko, President)
revenues for fiscal 199 will range from a low of $2 million to a
high of $4 million and is comfortable with our $3 million in sales
and $1.05 million in net income or 09/share
- Looking forward (fiscal 99 - April 1, 1998), EPLN has a very
favorable mix of fundamental variables that bodes well for further
stock appreciation; namely (based upon share price of .33, initial
recommended price), PE estimate of 3.6x, PSR of 1.2, P/CF of 3.5x
and trading at less than twice estimated book.
- Management controls 55% of 11,600,000 shares outstanding.
Historic high for EPLN was $1.50 after initial IPO. Been public
since 1987 - 400 shareholders (obviously changed direction during
the early 90's).
Overview
epolin, Inc., in our opinion, has all the ingredients of a solidly
run growth oriented mini-micro cap that is extremely unique, not only
for the nature of its business, but for the pristine condition of its
balance, as well as income statement.
We believe that certain investor types will migrate towards EPLN,
that is, ones that favor solid fundamentals consistent sales and
earnings, ample cash, no debt and sizable NOL.
One must also be impressed by the relatively small salaries that
management receives. EPLN has a unique business that, as mentioned
earlier in this report, is currently being reviewed by two potential
suitors. This we find is very unusual for such a small public entity.
This alone indicates that smart money sees something unique and
promising. A final element to the EPLN story that we find extremely
positive is the announcement of a stock buy back program dated March
4, 1998.
If you are looking for a strong mini-micro investment opportunity
for your diverse portfolio with limited downside risk and promising
upside potential over the long term, EPLN might be for you.
We intend to monitor this opportunity in our Summer Portfolio 1997
#1 and #2 for percentage gain performance. For more information:
Corporate #201-465-9495 or epolin@worldnet.att.net. Broker Contact: Mike
Chesler at 1-800-331-1355. |